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Goldman Sachs has raised the likelihood of a recession under President Trump to 35%, citing the risks from new tariffs and a decline in household and business confidence. The firm predicts a 0.3% increase in unemployment, estimating that Trump's policies could reduce GDP growth by 1.2% over the next year. Meanwhile, Moody's Analytics has also increased its recession probability to 40%, warning of a potential "recession by design."
Goldman Sachs has increased the probability of a recession to 35%, citing President Trump’s escalating trade war and declining consumer confidence as key factors. CNBC's Dominic Chu reports on how markets are preparing for new tariffs expected this week.
Goldman Sachs has revised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 5,700 points, marking an 8% decrease from its earlier estimate of 6,200. Chief U.S. Equity Strategist David Kostin cited heightened recession risks and tariff uncertainties as key factors for this downgrade, warning that further deterioration in growth outlook could lead to even steeper declines in valuations. The new target suggests a modest 2% gain for the index this year, reflecting one of the most bearish forecasts on Wall Street.
Goldman Sachs has raised the U.S. recession probability to 35%, citing concerns over President Trump's tariff policies, which could lead to inflation, trade retaliation, and slower economic growth. The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates to stimulate the economy, but risks remain high for job markets and consumer spending. As uncertainty looms, individuals are advised to strengthen their financial foundations.
Goldman Sachs has downgraded its S&P 500 forecast, now predicting a modest 3% increase by year-end, down from 12%. The bank anticipates a 15 percentage point rise in average US tariffs, leading to inflation hitting 3.4% and a 35% chance of recession within the next year. If a recession occurs, profits for S&P 500 companies could drop by 13%, potentially causing a 17% decline in stock values. Investors are increasingly favoring foreign stocks, particularly in Europe, as US economic pressures mount.
Goldman Sachs has issued a warning that the likelihood of a recession is increasing due to escalating tariffs and heightened global trade tensions. This alert highlights the potential economic challenges that may arise in the near future.
The S&P 500 experienced a decline on Monday following a target cut by Goldman Sachs. The analyst's revision raised concerns about an increased risk of recession, contributing to the market's downward movement.
Goldman Sachs has raised the probability of a US recession to 35% due to President Trump's tariffs, up from 20%. The bank anticipates that these tariffs will increase average rates on trading partners to 15%, leading to higher consumer prices and prompting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates three times this year. Economic growth is projected to slow to 1.5% annually, reflecting the negative impact of the tariffs.
Goldman Sachs has once again lowered its S&P 500 target, citing concerns over the potential for increased tariffs and a slowdown in economic growth. The firm’s revised outlook reflects a cautious stance amid ongoing market volatility.
Goldman Sachs has raised the likelihood of a U.S. recession to 35% over the next year, citing increased tariffs and declining consumer sentiment. The bank predicts inflation will rise to 3.5% and unemployment to 3.5%, while projecting weak economic growth of just 0.2% for Q1 and 1% for the year, raising concerns of stagflation. Additionally, Goldman Sachs anticipates the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates three times in 2025 to stimulate growth, despite the risk of further inflation.
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goldman sachs raises recession odds to 35 amid tariff concerns
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VANECK MOODY'S ANALYTICS BBB CO
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21:00 31.03.2025
recession risk rises to 35 percent amid trade war and consumer concerns
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Goldman Sachs revises S&P 500 target amid rising recession fears and tariffs
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goldman sachs raises us recession probability to 35 amid tariff concerns
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goldman sachs downgrades s p 500 forecast amid rising inflation and recession fears
18:05 31.03.2025
Goldman Sachs warns of increasing recession risks amid trade tensions
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S&P 500 declines as Goldman Sachs lowers index target amid recession fears
17:47 31.03.2025
goldman sachs predicts 35 percent chance of us recession due to tariffs
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Rachel Reeves
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17:30 31.03.2025
Goldman Sachs lowers S&P 500 forecast amid tariff concerns and growth slowdown
16:12 31.03.2025
Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Odds Amid Tariff Concerns and Inflation Risks
16:02 31.03.2025
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